Insights

Institutional Investor Indicators: January 2026

Institutional investor indicators january

The State Street Risk Appetite Index declined to a neutral 0 in January 2026 from a +0.36 basis points reading in the previous month.

February 2026

Our monthly video series offers an updated analysis of our institutional investor indicators.

  • Our Institutional Investor Holdings Indicator shows the aggregate holdings of institutional investors across three asset classes: stocks, bonds and cash. This simple information can tell us a lot about how investors view the economy and markets.
  • Our Institutional Investor Risk Appetite Indicator is based on flows — buying and selling activity — rather than portfolio positions. It reveals whether investors, in aggregate, are buying risk or selling it. While the Holdings Indicator tells us about the current location, the Risk Appetite Indicator tells us about the direction of travel.
Institutional investor indicators chart january

Several notable trends emerged from investor behavior in January. Firstly, institutional investors increased their exposure to risk toward mid-month, but this risk appetite slowed as the month-end approached amid uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve Chair nomination, market liquidity and valuations. That said, investors ended the month with equity allocations at their highest since October 2007 and bond allocations at their lowest since August 2008.

The equity-bond allocation divergence continues apace. The United States dollar (USD) remained on the back foot and lost further ground, despite less extensive USD selling toward the end of January. The narrative around USD diversification persists. Meanwhile, appetite for USD fixed income assets remained weak with institutional flows falling toward the bottom quintile by end of January.

Investors remain overweight US equities. Cross-border equity flows to Europe held up well on an absolute basis, but were generally weaker than the US, Japan and Oceania. This may reflect continued concerns about weaker growth rates, regional earnings and margins. Positioning in the euro remains extremely overweight, but flows have weakened anew, and this puts extended positioning at some risk of unwind. Both flows and positioning are underwhelming for the British pound. In contrast, the flow profile for the Swiss franc is the strongest across G10, reflecting a modest shift toward a more defensive stance at month-end.

In Asia Pacific, demand for Japanese equities has remained positive and has yet to be impacted by the currency intervention in the Japanese yen. Positioning in the Japanese yen remains a modest underweight. There was a sharp rebound in demand for equities in Australia and New Zealand, where currency positioning is also extended in the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar. Despite a continued strong performance by tech-related regional equity markets, such as China, South Korea and Taiwan, cross-border equity flows have remained relatively muted. In contrast, regional currency positioning profiles show a stark contrast between extreme overweights (South Korean won, New Taiwanese dollar and Malaysian ringgit) and extreme underweights (Indian rupee, Philippine peso), broadly aligning with tech exposure.

View January commentary from Dwyfor Evans, head of APAC Macro Strategy, State Street Markets.

Share

Stay updated

Please send me State Street’s latest Insights.